Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.838361 13.275264 14.915087 16.947302 19.430240 22.408876 26.322037
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.029679 11.778923 13.927976 16.828673 20.752834 26.059506 34.139215
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.877356 10.741380 13.145768 16.588744 21.606957 29.059651 41.928710
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.122194 10.058813 12.655127 16.557613 22.620222 32.419921 51.556664
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.610013 9.615518 12.396544 16.763353 23.964641 36.618040 64.788497
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.013936 8.984747 11.782219 16.312814 24.117201 38.732811 74.973678
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.623376 8.602126 11.478129 16.287246 24.964255 42.401335 91.548236
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.157549 8.069319 10.891545 15.712710 24.691767 43.662054 102.602085
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.696461 7.510415 10.216615 14.907778 23.839801 43.397825 108.787505
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.322844 7.058415 9.673909 14.272363 23.218978 43.521469 116.809634
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.461120 7.384558 10.384717 15.925714 27.574819 57.828220 209.260307
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.391240 7.382216 10.558114 16.619752 30.068246 68.689477 328.179545
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.051652 6.947406 9.995146 15.880219 29.193597 68.903479 371.595012
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.847919 6.718259 9.766789 15.776296 29.857585 74.934894 522.727600
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.644744 6.477359 9.498695 15.558859 30.192836 80.086550 734.599688
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.488181 6.302864 9.332929 15.530620 31.023354 87.984764 1212.078605
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.375513 6.193501 9.273471 15.717291 32.497754 100.265129 2797.927086
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.188429 5.950267 8.955140 15.308364 32.176786 103.535146 4749.309203
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.067022 5.811361 8.818404 15.285141 33.009206 114.146968 21316.669296
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.888680 5.568073 8.474317 14.762831 32.200391 114.450678 60439.107024
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.693312 5.288982 8.050970 14.029526 30.619108 109.010550 62691.037192
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.527824 5.055744 7.704102 13.449353 29.458648 105.939384 113349.194900
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.629604 5.283996 8.236990 14.956579 35.519655 163.497485 NaN